Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Golden Gophers v UCLA Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local)

Prediction 46.64%2.14fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.976%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.60%46.65%46.75%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1051.28%48.93%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCLA Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 53.36%1.87fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.991%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.35%53.25%54.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.771.761.8457.80%56.50%56.82%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local): 46.64%; UCLA Bruins (Visit): 53.36%. For UCLA Bruins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.84, with an expected value of -1.82%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.05%E -0.976%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:54
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.05%E -0.976%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:54
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.05%E -0.976%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:52
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.05%E -0.976%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.09%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.05%E -0.976%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.09%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.05%E -0.976%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.09%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.05%E -0.976%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.09%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.05%E -0.976%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.09%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.05%E -0.976%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.09%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.05%E -0.976%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.09%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.45%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:54
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.45%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:54
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.45%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:54
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.92%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.02%E -2.82%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:54
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -3.92%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 18:54
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:19
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 15:15
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:33
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:32
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.09%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 18:54
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.16%E -4.11%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 18:54
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -1.82%E -0.991%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:49
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.02%E -2.82%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.02%E -2.82%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 18:19
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:24
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:49
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:29
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 18:49
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.16%E -4.11%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 18:44
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 15:15
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:00
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.65%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 18:19
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.05%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 18:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-02-28 18:24
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-02-28 18:44
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-02-28 18:45
Novig2.09I 47.85%NM 47.22%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.78%1.3%2026-02-28 18:34
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%2.2%2026-02-28 18:54