Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Golden Gophers v Northwestern Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local)

Prediction 63.69%1.57fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -4.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%63.73%63.70%65.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.511.5369.44%66.72%66.23%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northwestern Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 36.31%2.75fair odd
EV -0.142%
Edge -0.052%
Kelly -0.081%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.99%36.27%36.30%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.592.602.7540.00%38.61%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local): 63.69%; Northwestern Wildcats (Visit): 36.31%. For Northwestern Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.754. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.750, with an expected value of -0.142%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.56%E -1.67%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 01:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.56%E -1.67%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 01:54
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.56%E -1.67%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 01:04
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.56%E -1.67%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -4.50%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 01:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.56%E -1.67%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.56%E -1.67%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 01:03
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.19%E -2.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 01:04
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.19%E -2.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 00:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.19%E -2.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.19%E -2.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 01:04
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.19%E -2.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 01:04
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:37
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:54
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:05
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -6.32%E -2.45%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 01:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 01:05
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 01:04
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 01:04
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 01:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 01:04
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 01:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 01:05
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.142%E -0.052%K -0.081%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-08 01:04
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 01:29
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 01:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 01:44
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 01:29
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 01:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 01:04
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 01:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 01:00
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.142%E -0.052%K -0.081%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 01:53
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:29
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.77%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 00:59
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 01:35
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 01:35
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 01:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -4.14%E -1.57%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 01:04
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 01:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 01:30
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.29%E -5.76%K -18.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 01:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66%2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34%0.1%2026-03-08 01:34
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-03-08 01:54
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-08 01:40
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%2.2%2026-03-08 01:55