The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Minnesota Golden Gophers v Baylor Bears

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local)

Prediction 39.01%2.56fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.987%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.12%38.92%39.01%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.452.462.5042.55%40.82%40.73%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baylor Bears (Visit)

Prediction 60.99%1.64fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -5.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%61.08%60.99%61.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.561.561.5966.23%63.98%63.90%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local): 39.01%; Baylor Bears (Visit): 60.99%. For Minnesota Golden Gophers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -2.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.47%E -0.987%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.86%E -3.12%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 02:29
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.47%E -0.987%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.08%E -3.95%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 02:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.86%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.03%E -1.91%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-02 02:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.86%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.03%E -1.91%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-02 02:30
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.03%E -1.91%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 02:29
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.42%E -1.80%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.25%E -2.71%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 02:35
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.42%E -1.80%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.91%E -5.24%K -15.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 02:30
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.20%E -2.14%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.03%E -1.91%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 02:27
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.69%E -4.37%K -12.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 02:34
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.86%E -3.12%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 02:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-04-02 02:49
Polymarket◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-04-02 02:50
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-04-02 02:55
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.1%2026-04-02 02:55
ProphetX◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%3.2%2026-04-02 02:55