Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders v UTEP Miners

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local)

Prediction 77.51%1.29fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -9.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.54%77.31%77.49%78.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.221.2683.33%81.54%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UTEP Miners (Visit)

Prediction 22.49%4.45fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.271%
Kelly +0.349%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.33%22.69%22.51%25.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.664.204.254.5027.32%23.80%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local): 77.51%; UTEP Miners (Visit): 22.49%. For UTEP Miners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.22%E +0.271%K +0.349%G +0.004%4.2%2026-02-26 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.03%E -0.234%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.03%E -0.234%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 20:59
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.03%E -0.234%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.03%E -0.234%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 21:05
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.03%E -0.234%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.03%E -0.234%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 21:05
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.03%E -0.234%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.03%E -0.234%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 21:05
Caesars🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.67%E -3.79%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -2.15%E -0.495%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 21:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.89%E -3.14%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.28%E -0.763%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 21:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.89%E -3.14%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.28%E -0.763%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.89%E -3.14%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.28%E -0.763%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:14
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.89%E -3.14%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.28%E -0.763%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:15
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.28%E -0.763%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 20:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.28%E -0.763%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 21:00
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.28%E -0.763%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 21:05
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.28%E -0.763%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 20:59
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -6.22%E -5.14%K -29.60%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -3.95%E -0.926%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 21:50
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.40%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.22%E -5.14%K -29.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -4.40%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 21:00
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.99%E -5.83%K -34.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.40%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 22:24
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.89%E -3.14%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 00:15
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.89%E -3.14%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 21:04
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.89%E -3.14%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 21:04
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 23:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 23:55
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.54%EV -2.34%E -1.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.46%EV -7.55%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.89%E -3.14%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:14
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.89%E -3.14%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:15
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.99%E -5.83%K -34.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 22:05
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.99%E -5.83%K -34.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 22:04
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.99%E -5.83%K -34.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 22:05
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.12%E -2.49%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 20:59
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -11.15%E -2.82%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 00:15
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.34%E -1.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -12.28%E -3.15%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.28%E -3.15%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 00:14
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.44%E -4.46%K -24.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -12.28%E -3.15%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 00:15
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.12%E -2.49%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.77%E -4.53%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 20:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.54%EV -3.12%E -2.49%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.46%EV -17.67%E -4.83%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.27I 78.74%NM 78.90%4.75I 21.05%NM 21.10%-0.2%2026-02-27 00:14
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-02-27 00:04
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-02-26 23:09
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 77.16%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.84%2.1%2026-02-27 00:24
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 77.13%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%2.9%2026-02-27 00:10