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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders v New Mexico St Aggies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local)
Prediction 67.96%1.47fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -4.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.85%67.99%67.92%69.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.391.4473.53%71.68%71.94%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Mexico St Aggies (Visit)
Prediction 32.04%3.12fair odd
EV -0.676%
Edge -0.218%
Kelly -0.322%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.77%32.01%32.08%34.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.952.943.1037.04%33.85%34.07%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local): 67.96%; New Mexico St Aggies (Visit): 32.04%. For New Mexico St Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -0.676%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.14%E -1.48%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.69%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.57%EV -5.16%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.48%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 16:41 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.82%E -1.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.48%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.29%E -3.67%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.50%E -2.46%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.29%E -3.67%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.18%E -2.96%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.28%E -0.747%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.18%E -2.96%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -2.92%E -0.963%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.18%E -2.96%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -2.92%E -0.963%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.18%E -2.96%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -6.44%E -2.21%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.88%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.89%E -4.32%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 03:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -13.49%E -5.00%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -13.49%E -5.00%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.54%E -3.98%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -0.676%E -0.218%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.54%E -3.98%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.28%E -0.747%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.22%E -4.50%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.676%E -0.218%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.22%E -4.50%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.676%E -0.218%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 15:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.22%E -4.50%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.676%E -0.218%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.22%E -4.50%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.676%E -0.218%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 15:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.22%E -4.50%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.676%E -0.218%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 15:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.22%E -4.50%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.676%E -0.218%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 15:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.22%E -4.50%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.676%E -0.218%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 15:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.22%E -4.50%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.676%E -0.218%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 15:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.22%E -4.50%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.676%E -0.218%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.50%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.50%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.50%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.22%E -4.50%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.22%E -4.50%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 15:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.22%E -4.50%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.69%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.89%E -5.03%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -6.89%E -5.03%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -6.44%E -2.21%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.89%E -5.03%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.89%E -5.03%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.08%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -7.57%E -5.57%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -1.96%E -0.640%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.57%E -5.57%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 16:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-02-28 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 13:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.92% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 32.08% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |