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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders v Evansville Purple Aces

2026-11-11 00:30 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local)

Prediction 73.36%1.36fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -7.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.18%73.27%73.32%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.40%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Evansville Purple Aces (Visit)

Prediction 26.64%3.75fair odd
EV -0.111%
Edge -0.030%
Kelly -0.040%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.73%26.68%27.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.533.503.7529.41%28.32%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local): 73.36%; Evansville Purple Aces (Visit): 26.64%. For Evansville Purple Aces (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.754. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.750, with an expected value of -0.111%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -2.43%E -1.83%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-09 22:35
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.16%E -2.39%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-10 01:30
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-10 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.89%E -2.97%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-09 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.63%E -3.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.77%E -0.760%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-09 21:40
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.63%E -3.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.44%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 22:35
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.63%E -3.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-10 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.63%E -3.56%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-10 00:15
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.36%E -4.16%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.77%E -0.760%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-10 00:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.36%E -4.16%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 00:05
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.36%E -4.16%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.36%E -4.16%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 21:40
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.36%E -4.16%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.36%E -4.16%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 21:45
picklebet_au🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.10%E -4.76%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-10 00:35
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.10%E -4.76%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 21:40
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.10%E -4.76%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-10 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.10%E -4.76%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-10 00:20
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.56%E -6.00%K -29.09%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -0.910%E -0.245%K -0.335%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-10 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.30%E -6.64%K -33.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.111%E -0.030%K -0.040%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-09 21:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-11-10 01:05
Novig◎1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%6.1%2026-11-10 01:45
Polymarket◎1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%7.7%2026-11-10 01:50

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