Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders v Delaware Blue Hens

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local)

Prediction 81.76%1.22fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -14.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.23%81.79%81.91%84.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.161.161.1988.50%86.34%86.21%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Delaware Blue Hens (Visit)

Prediction 18.24%5.48fair odd
EV +10.36%
Edge +1.71%
Kelly +2.05%
Growth +0.213%

assuming max odds 6.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.86%18.21%18.09%20.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.235.306.0522.22%19.14%18.87%16.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Local): 81.76%; Delaware Blue Hens (Visit): 18.24%. For Delaware Blue Hens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.48. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -6.80%E -5.96%K -48.54%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +10.36%E +1.71%K +2.05%G +0.213%4.2%2026-02-21 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -6.80%E -5.96%K -48.54%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +10.36%E +1.71%K +2.05%G +0.213%4.2%2026-02-21 18:49
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.80%E -5.96%K -48.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +9.45%E +1.57%K +1.89%G +0.179%4.4%2026-02-21 18:48
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.80%E -5.96%K -48.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +9.45%E +1.57%K +1.89%G +0.179%4.4%2026-02-21 18:49
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +3.98%E +0.698%K +0.846%G +0.034%4.5%2026-02-21 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +0.328%E +0.060%K +0.073%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.50%E -0.277%K -0.340%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:15
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.50%E -0.277%K -0.340%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.50%E -0.277%K -0.340%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.32%E -0.626%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:40
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.32%E -0.626%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.32%E -0.626%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.32%E -0.626%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.32%E -0.626%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:40
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.32%E -0.626%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:40
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.32%E -0.626%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.32%E -0.626%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.32%E -0.626%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:40
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -3.32%E -0.626%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:40
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -3.32%E -0.626%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -3.32%E -0.626%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -3.32%E -0.626%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.23%E -0.806%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 18:15
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.23%E -0.806%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 18:40
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.80%E -5.96%K -48.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.14%E -0.989%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.87%EV -2.71%E -2.28%K -14.25%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.13%EV -8.25%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.52%E -2.99%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 18:15
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:20
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.61%E -6.74%K -58.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.61%E -6.74%K -58.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.70%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 18:25
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.52%E -2.99%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -10.62%E -2.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:30
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.56%EV -3.52%E -2.99%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -10.80%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.52%E -2.99%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.35%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:19
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -14.26%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:15
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -14.26%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:15
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -3.52%E -2.99%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -17.91%E -3.98%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -17.91%E -3.98%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-02-21 18:55
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-02-21 18:45
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-02-21 18:55
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 82.19%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.81%2.2%2026-02-21 18:55
BetOpenly1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%7.7%2026-02-21 18:55