Language:English
Michigan Wolverines v UConn Huskies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michigan Wolverines (Local)
Prediction 72.08%1.39fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -5.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.68%72.01%71.88%73.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.311.321.3683.33%76.13%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UConn Huskies (Visit)
Prediction 27.92%3.58fair odd
EV +0.518%
Edge +0.144%
Kelly +0.199%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%27.99%28.12%31.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.963.373.353.6033.78%29.66%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 72.08%; UConn Huskies (Visit): 27.92%. For UConn Huskies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.518%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%EV -3.41%E -2.55%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%EV +0.518%E +0.144%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.518%E +0.144%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.518%E +0.144%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 00:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.518%E +0.144%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.518%E +0.144%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 00:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -2.69%E -2.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -0.878%E -0.247%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-07 00:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.878%E -0.247%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 23:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.27%E -0.650%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.27%E -0.650%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 05:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.35%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -2.83%E -0.814%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 00:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.30%E -4.84%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.30%E -4.84%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 18:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 21:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 22:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 00:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 00:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.41%E -2.55%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 00:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 00:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 00:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -3.41%E -2.55%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -6.74%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 00:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -6.30%E -4.84%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.20%EV -7.58%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.69%E -2.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 00:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 00:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.86%E -3.68%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 00:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.97%E -1.45%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 23:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.30%E -4.84%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 23:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.30%E -4.84%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.25%E -2.85%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 00:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.43%EV -9.18%E -7.29%K -35.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -12.05%E -3.82%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-07 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -3.41%E -2.55%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -14.56%E -4.76%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 23:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 71.43%EV -13.51%E -11.25%K -67.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.24%E -5.41%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-07 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%EV -2.69%E -2.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%EV -17.35%E -5.86%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-07 00:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.23% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.77% | 0.4% | 2026-04-07 00:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 00:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-04-07 00:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87% | 2.8% | 2026-04-07 00:45 |