Language:English
Michigan Wolverines v Purdue Boilermakers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michigan Wolverines (Local)
Prediction 67.16%1.49fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -7.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.71%67.05%67.24%68.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.421.4473.53%70.71%70.42%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Purdue Boilermakers (Visit)
Prediction 32.84%3.04fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +0.585%
Kelly +0.864%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.11%32.95%32.76%35.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.642.852.803.1037.88%35.06%35.71%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 67.16%; Purdue Boilermakers (Visit): 32.84%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.81%E +0.585%K +0.864%G +0.016% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 19:16 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.171%E +0.056%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 19:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -5.31%E -3.77%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -1.14%E -0.380%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.97%E -2.77%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.47%E -0.490%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.97%E -2.77%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.47%E -0.490%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.31%E -3.77%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.47%E -0.490%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.47%E -0.490%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.97%E -2.77%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.97%E -2.77%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.97%E -2.77%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.97%E -2.77%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.97%E -2.77%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.97%E -2.77%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.40%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.97%E -2.77%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.40%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -7.38%E -2.62%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -7.71%E -2.74%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 19:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.65%E -4.79%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.67%E -6.37%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.64%E -3.27%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.31%E -3.77%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 19:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -3.29%E -2.29%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -13.29%E -5.04%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.67% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.33% | 0.0% | 2026-03-15 19:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85% | 2.6% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92% | 2.7% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |