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Michigan Wolverines v Ohio State Buckeyes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michigan Wolverines (Local)
Prediction 86.71%1.15fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -15.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.56%86.44%86.94%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1392.59%90.82%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit)
Prediction 13.29%7.53fair odd
EV +6.30%
Edge +0.788%
Kelly +0.900%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%13.56%13.06%17.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.356.796.508.0018.69%14.72%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 86.71%; Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit): 13.29%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.53. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.48%E -5.03%K -60.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +6.30%E +0.788%K +0.900%G +0.057% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 12:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.35%E -5.88%K -79.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.30%E +0.788%K +0.900%G +0.057% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.43%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 7.65I 13.07%NM 12.57%EV +1.65%E +0.216%K +0.248%G +0.004% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +1.12%E +0.147%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +1.12%E +0.147%K +0.169%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.343%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 14:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.343%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 14:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.343%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 14:38 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.343%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -1.67%E -0.226%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 15:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -3.67%E -0.506%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 15:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.33%E -0.601%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 15:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.75%E -3.38%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 14:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.48%E -5.03%K -60.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.48%E -5.03%K -60.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.99%E -0.998%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 15:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.12%EV -2.88%E -2.57%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.88%EV -7.65%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.75%E -3.38%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.31%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 15:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.31%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-13 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -5.48%E -5.03%K -60.93%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV -10.97%E -1.64%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.75%E -3.38%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.75%E -3.38%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.75%E -3.38%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.75%E -3.38%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.75%E -3.38%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 15:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.75%E -3.38%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 15:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.75%E -3.38%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 15:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.35%E -5.88%K -79.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.35%E -5.88%K -79.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 15:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.35%E -5.88%K -79.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -13.63%E -2.10%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.75%E -3.38%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -14.96%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-13 15:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.75%E -3.38%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -14.96%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-13 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.75%E -3.38%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -14.96%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-13 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -3.75%E -3.38%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -14.96%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-13 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -16.95%E -2.71%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 15:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -16.95%E -2.71%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 15:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.48%E -5.03%K -60.93%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -16.95%E -2.71%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 15:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.48%E -5.03%K -60.93%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -16.95%E -2.71%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 15:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.75%E -3.38%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -20.27%E -3.38%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.62%E -4.20%K -46.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -20.27%E -3.38%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.56%EV -2.01%E -1.78%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -28.91%E -5.40%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 15:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 89.06% | 9.12I 10.96%NM 10.94% | 0.3% | 2026-03-13 15:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.27% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.73% | 0.3% | 2026-03-13 15:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-03-13 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 15:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-03-13 14:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-03-13 14:40 |