Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines v Minnesota Golden Gophers

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 01:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

94%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 94.20%1.06fair odd

EV -3.91%

Edge -3.84%

Kelly -195.73%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

92.31%94.10%94.39%96.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.011.011.02100.00%99.12%99.01%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit)

Prediction 5.80%17.25fair odd

EV +50.76%

Edge +1.95%

Kelly +2.03%

Growth +1.03%

assuming max odds 26.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

3.70%5.90%5.61%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

12.0016.9817.0026.008.33%5.89%5.88%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan Wolverines (Local): 94.20%; Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit): 5.80%. For Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 17.25. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 26.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +50.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.80%E -5.80%K +0.000%G +0.000%	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +50.76%E +1.95%K +2.03%G +1.03%	3.8%	2026-02-25 01:35
FanDuel🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +21.77%E +1.04%K +1.09%G +0.237%	3.8%	2026-02-25 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +21.77%E +1.04%K +1.09%G +0.237%	3.8%	2026-02-25 01:29
DraftKings🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.91%E -3.84%K -195.73%G +0.000%	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +10.17%E +0.535%K +0.565%G +0.058%	3.3%	2026-02-25 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +10.17%E +0.535%K +0.565%G +0.058%	4.3%	2026-02-25 01:40
Coral🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.80%E -5.80%K +0.000%G +0.000%	19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +10.17%E +0.535%K +0.565%G +0.058%	5.3%	2026-02-25 01:39
BetMGM🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +4.38%E +0.243%K +0.257%G +0.011%	4.6%	2026-02-25 01:39
1xBet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.42%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-25 01:29
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.42%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-25 01:39
Unibet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.42%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-25 01:39
BetRivers🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.42%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-25 01:39
LeoVegas🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.42%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-25 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.42%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-25 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.42%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-25 01:39
Bally Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.42%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-25 01:39
betPARX🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.42%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-25 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.42%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-25 01:39
Svenska Spel🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.42%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-25 01:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -1.42%E -0.084%K -0.089%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-25 01:39
888sport🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -4.32%E -0.262%K -0.279%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-25 01:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -4.32%E -0.262%K -0.279%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-25 01:29
888sport (SE)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -4.32%E -0.262%K -0.279%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-25 01:29
TAB🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -13.02%E -0.868%K -0.930%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-25 01:39
SportsBet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -18.82%E -1.34%K -1.45%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-25 01:40
BoyleSports🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.62%E -1.89%K -2.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-02-25 01:29
Betway🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.86%E -4.81%K -485.66%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.62%E -1.89%K -2.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-02-25 01:39
NordicBet🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -5.80%E -5.80%K +0.000%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -30.42%E -2.53%K -2.77%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-02-25 01:29
Betsson🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -5.80%E -5.80%K +0.000%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -30.42%E -2.53%K -2.77%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-02-25 01:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
BetOpenly◎	1.03I 97.09%NM 97.14%	35.00I 2.86%NM 2.86%	-0.1%	2026-02-25 01:29
Polymarket◎	1.02I 98.04%NM 96.74%	30.30I 3.30%NM 3.26%	1.3%	2026-02-25 01:39
ProphetX◎	1.02I 98.04%NM 96.71%	30.00I 3.33%NM 3.29%	1.4%	2026-02-25 01:39
Kalshi◎	1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%	25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%	2.0%	2026-02-25 01:40
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.24%	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%	5.0%	2026-02-25 01:40