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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Michigan St Spartans v UCLA Bruins

开赛时间： 2026-03-14 01:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Michigan St Spartans (主队)

预测 67.31%1.49公平赔率
EV -3.07%
优势 -2.13%
Kelly -6.97%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.44

博彩公司预测分布
66.11%67.38%67.32%68.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.411.401.4473.53%70.97%71.43%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

UCLA Bruins (客队)

预测 32.69%3.06公平赔率
EV -0.310%
优势 -0.102%
Kelly -0.151%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布
31.19%32.62%32.68%33.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.912.903.0536.36%34.40%34.48%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Michigan St Spartans (主队)：67.31%；UCLA Bruins (客队)：32.69%。 对于“UCLA Bruins (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.06。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.05，期望值为-0.310%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.07%E -2.13%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.85%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 18:20
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.07%E -2.13%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.85%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 21:10
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.74%E -2.62%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.94%E -0.648%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-13 17:09
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.74%E -2.62%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.94%E -0.648%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-13 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.74%E -2.62%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 00:24
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.74%E -2.62%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.74%E -2.62%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 23:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.74%E -2.62%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.74%E -2.62%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -4.23%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 22:10
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.74%E -2.62%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 23:04
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.74%E -2.62%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 19:44
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.74%E -2.62%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.41%E -3.11%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 23:29
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.41%E -3.11%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 21:14
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.41%E -3.11%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.87%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 23:30
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.41%E -3.11%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.85%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.41%E -3.11%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.85%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 00:10
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.09%E -3.61%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 23:40
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -5.09%E -3.61%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -3.91%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 00:55
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.09%E -3.61%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.12%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 15:44
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.310%E -0.102%K -0.151%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 23:27
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:44
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:44
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:45
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:44
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:45
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 00:45
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 00:44
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.87%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 20:09
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.48%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.12%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 00:10
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.76%E -4.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.12%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -6.43%E -4.63%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -7.50%E -2.65%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 23:05
Fliff🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -6.43%E -4.63%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.48%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 00:54
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.78%E -5.68%K -21.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 20:49
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.78%E -5.68%K -21.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.21%E -1.80%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 20:49
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.45%E -6.21%K -23.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.94%E -0.648%K -0.972%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 00:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.47I 68.03%NM 68.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.82%-0.2%2026-03-14 00:24
Novig◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.90%3.11I 32.15%NM 32.10%0.2%2026-03-14 00:40
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-14 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-14 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-14 00:55
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-13 21:30
Polymarket◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-14 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-03-14 00:55