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Michigan St Spartans v Ohio State Buckeyes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michigan St Spartans (Local)
Prediction 81.97%1.22fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -18.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.27%81.92%81.90%83.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.151.151.1889.29%86.69%86.96%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit)
Prediction 18.03%5.55fair odd
EV +3.66%
Edge +0.636%
Kelly +0.770%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.55%18.08%18.10%19.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.265.305.7520.83%19.00%18.87%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michigan St Spartans (Local): 81.97%; Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit): 18.03%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.55. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.55%E -5.75%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +3.66%E +0.636%K +0.770%G +0.028% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 16:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.91%E -4.23%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.956%E +0.171%K +0.208%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 17:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.09%E -3.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.847%E -0.154%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 17:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.19%E -7.31%K -68.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.847%E -0.154%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 17:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.38%EV -4.09%E -3.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.62%EV -1.39%E -0.254%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.09%E -3.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -1.57%E -0.287%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.09%E -3.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -1.57%E -0.287%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 17:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.33%EV -4.09%E -3.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV -1.75%E -0.321%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.91%E -4.23%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 17:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.73%E -4.98%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.73%E -4.98%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.73%E -4.98%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.73%E -4.98%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.73%E -4.98%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.73%E -4.98%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.73%E -4.98%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.09%E -3.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.91%E -4.23%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 17:22 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.73%E -4.98%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 17:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.73%E -4.98%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.73%E -4.98%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.73%E -4.98%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.73%E -4.98%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.73%E -4.98%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.73%E -4.98%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.09%E -3.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.35%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.09%E -3.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.35%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 17:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.09%E -3.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.35%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.91%E -4.23%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.91%E -4.23%K -30.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.55%E -5.75%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.88%EV -6.55%E -5.75%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -7.16%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-22 17:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.55%E -5.75%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -8.06%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.09%E -3.50%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.73%E -4.98%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.55%E -5.75%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 17:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.55%E -5.75%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 17:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.55%E -5.75%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.55%E -5.75%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 17:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.27%E -2.77%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -13.47%E -2.81%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.55%E -5.75%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -13.47%E -2.81%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.55%E -5.75%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -13.47%E -2.81%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.61% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 16.39% | -0.3% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.98% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 17.02% | 0.4% | 2026-02-22 17:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-02-22 17:29 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.85% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.15% | 1.4% | 2026-02-22 17:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71% | 1.8% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |