Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes v Missouri Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 54.03%1.85fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.77%53.90%54.23%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.8158.82%56.56%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 45.97%2.18fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.543%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%46.10%45.77%47.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.022.1551.28%48.91%49.50%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Hurricanes (Local): 54.03%; Missouri Tigers (Visit): 45.97%. For Missouri Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -2.20%E -1.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 01:25
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 01:45
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.14%E -3.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.14%E -3.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:09
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.14%E -3.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.14%E -3.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.14%E -3.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:09
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.14%E -3.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 01:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.14%E -3.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:09
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.14%E -3.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:10
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.14%E -3.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.74%E -1.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.14%E -3.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 02:05
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -3.28%E -1.83%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:05
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.14%E -3.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.14%E -3.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.82%E -2.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 01:55
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.01%E -1.43%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 02:05
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 02:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:15
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 02:00
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:58
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 01:15
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.39%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 01:55
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 01:25
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.36%E -2.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.14%E -3.54%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 01:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.90%E -2.79%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.39%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 01:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.17%E -0.543%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 01:45
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.17%E -0.543%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 02:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -7.60%E -3.78%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 02:00
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -5.98%E -3.44%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 01:29
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 01:59
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -6.68%E -3.29%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 01:55
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 01:50
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 01:25
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.52%E -3.77%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 01:25
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.15%E -4.79%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 02:04
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.15%E -4.79%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 02:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-03-21 02:05
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-03-21 02:05
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-03-21 01:55
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-21 01:50
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-21 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-03-21 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-03-21 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-03-21 02:05
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%6.8%2026-03-21 02:05