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Miami Hurricanes v Louisville Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Hurricanes (Local)
Prediction 48.53%2.06fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.909%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%48.41%48.61%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.961.972.1054.64%50.97%50.76%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Louisville Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 51.47%1.94fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.884%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.59%51.39%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.831.831.9158.48%54.70%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Hurricanes (Local): 48.53%; Louisville Cardinals (Visit): 51.47%. For Miami Hurricanes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +1.91%E +0.909%K +1.74%G +0.033% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -11.98%E -7.01%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.517%E -0.252%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.97%E -0.977%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 18:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.95%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 18:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.95%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 18:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.91%E -1.98%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 18:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.91%E -1.98%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 18:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.91%E -1.98%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.91%E -1.98%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.40%E -2.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.40%E -2.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.40%E -2.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -4.40%E -2.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -8.90%E -5.03%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -4.88%E -2.49%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -6.84%E -3.78%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 18:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.86%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.83%E -3.56%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.83%E -3.56%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 18:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.69%E -0.884%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 18:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.69%E -0.884%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.16%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.10%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.16%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.25%E -4.95%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.19%E -6.12%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.19%E -6.12%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37% | -0.0% | 2026-03-12 18:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 18:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69% | 10.2% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |