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Merrimack Warriors v Sacred Heart Pioneers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Merrimack Warriors (Local)
Prediction 72.31%1.38fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -4.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.66%72.15%72.33%73.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.331.3678.13%75.49%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sacred Heart Pioneers (Visit)
Prediction 27.69%3.61fair odd
EV -0.315%
Edge -0.087%
Kelly -0.121%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.53%27.85%27.67%30.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.383.6032.26%29.89%29.63%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Merrimack Warriors (Local): 72.31%; Sacred Heart Pioneers (Visit): 27.69%. For Sacred Heart Pioneers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.315%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -1.66%E -1.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.38%E -1.76%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.38%E -1.76%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.38%E -1.76%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.38%E -1.76%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.38%E -1.76%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.38%E -1.76%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.38%E -1.76%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.38%E -1.76%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.01%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.38%E -1.76%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -12.78%E -4.06%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.38%E -1.76%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -12.78%E -4.06%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.38%E -1.76%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -12.78%E -4.06%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.38%E -1.76%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -12.78%E -4.06%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.38%E -1.76%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.16%E -4.57%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.11%E -2.32%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.11%E -2.32%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.83%E -2.88%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 21:27 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.83%E -2.88%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.83%E -2.88%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.83%E -2.88%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.83%E -2.88%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.83%E -2.88%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.83%E -2.88%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 22:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.55%E -3.45%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.70%E -0.479%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.55%E -3.45%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.70%E -0.479%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.55%E -3.45%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 21:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.55%E -3.45%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.27%E -4.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.27%E -4.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.08%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.27%E -4.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.00%E -4.61%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.315%E -0.087%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -6.00%E -4.61%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -3.91%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 22:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.00%E -4.61%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 22:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.00%E -4.61%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.24%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.00%E -4.61%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -8.07%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.00%E -4.61%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 22:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.00%E -4.61%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -14.16%E -4.57%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.00%E -4.61%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -14.16%E -4.57%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 22:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.72%E -5.21%K -23.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 22:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -7.44%E -5.82%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.44%E -5.82%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.44%E -5.82%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 22:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.68% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 26.32% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 22:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 22:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 22:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 22:55 |