Language:English
Merrimack Warriors v Marist Red Foxes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Merrimack Warriors (Local)
Prediction 59.14%1.69fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -3.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.18%59.45%59.12%61.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.591.581.6564.10%62.79%63.29%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marist Red Foxes (Visit)
Prediction 40.86%2.45fair odd
EV +1.73%
Edge +0.696%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.77%40.55%40.88%42.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.192.352.352.4945.66%42.64%42.55%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Merrimack Warriors (Local): 59.14%; Marist Red Foxes (Visit): 40.86%. For Marist Red Foxes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +1.73%E +0.696%K +1.16%G +0.020% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 21:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.33%E +0.534%K +0.895%G +0.012% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 21:47 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV +0.508%E +0.207%K +0.348%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.099%E +0.041%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.099%E +0.041%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.94%E -0.810%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.60%E -2.21%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 19:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 20:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.78%E -2.97%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.99%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.74%E -4.96%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.80%E -2.06%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.21%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -2.41%E -1.46%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -5.62%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 21:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -7.25%E -3.20%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -5.96%E -3.75%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -7.66%E -3.39%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 21:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.37%E -3.36%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 21:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 20:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.55%E -4.15%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 20:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.55%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 21:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.19%E -2.59%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.11%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -3.01%E -1.83%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -10.52%E -4.81%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 20:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 0.1% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 21:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 2.4% | 2026-03-08 21:45 |