A Escola das Odds

Merrimack Warriors v Iona Gaels

Início: 2026-02-22 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Merrimack Warriors (Local)

Previsão 72.38%1.38odd justa
EV -3.02%
Vantagem -2.25%
Kelly -8.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.45%72.33%72.46%74.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.321.321.3480.00%76.00%75.76%74.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Iona Gaels (Visitante)

Previsão 27.62%3.62odd justa
EV +2.21%
Vantagem +0.597%
Kelly +0.819%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.25%27.67%27.54%29.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.373.403.7032.26%29.64%29.41%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +2.21%E +0.597%K +0.819%G +0.018%7.0%2026-02-22 17:00
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +0.829%E +0.227%K +0.313%G +0.003%4.3%2026-02-22 17:44
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.552%E -0.153%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 17:39
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 17:37
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 17:39
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 17:50
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 17:39
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 17:39
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 17:35
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 17:33
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.64%E -5.14%K -22.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 17:35
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -4.14%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 17:39
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 17:39
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 17:40
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 17:50
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 17:55
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 17:55
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.64%E -5.14%K -22.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 17:40
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 17:34
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 17:34
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 17:34
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 17:35
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:40
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:40
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:39
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:40
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:40
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:40
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:39
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:39
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:40
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 17:39
Fliff1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 17:34
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 17:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.36I 73.53%NM 73.33%3.74I 26.74%NM 26.67%0.3%2026-02-22 17:49
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-02-22 17:55
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-02-22 17:50
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-02-22 17:50
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-02-22 17:45