L’École des cotes

Merrimack Warriors v Iona Gaels

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Merrimack Warriors (Local)

Prévision 72.38%1.38cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -2.25%
Kelly -8.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.45%72.33%72.46%74.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.321.321.3480.00%76.00%75.76%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Iona Gaels (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.62%3.62cote équitable
EV +2.21%
Avantage +0.597%
Kelly +0.819%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.25%27.67%27.54%29.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.403.7032.26%29.64%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.53%E -7.62%K -38.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +2.21%E +0.597%K +0.819%G +0.018%7.0%2026-02-22 17:00
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +0.829%E +0.227%K +0.313%G +0.003%4.3%2026-02-22 17:44
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.552%E -0.153%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 17:39
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 17:37
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 17:39
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 17:50
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 17:39
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 17:39
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 17:35
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.19%E -3.96%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 17:33
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.64%E -5.14%K -22.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 17:35
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -4.14%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 17:39
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 17:39
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 17:40
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 17:50
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 17:55
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 17:55
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.64%E -5.14%K -22.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 17:40
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 17:34
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.36%E -5.75%K -26.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 17:34
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 17:34
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.74%E -2.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 17:35
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:40
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:40
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:39
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:40
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:40
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:40
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:39
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:39
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.02%E -2.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 17:40
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 17:39
Fliff1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 17:34
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.91%E -4.55%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 17:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.36I 73.53%NM 73.33%3.74I 26.74%NM 26.67%0.3%2026-02-22 17:49
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-02-22 17:55
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-02-22 17:50
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-02-22 17:50
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-02-22 17:45