Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 2.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mercyhurst Lakers (Local): 64.33%; Stonehill Skyhawks (Visit): 35.67%. For Mercyhurst Lakers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.53, with an expected value of -1.58%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.58%E -1.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 16:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.22%E -1.46%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.22%E -1.46%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.22%E -1.46%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 16:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.22%E -1.46%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.86%E -1.90%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.69%E -1.37%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 16:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.86%E -1.90%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.69%E -1.37%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.86%E -1.90%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -2.86%E -1.90%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -6.54%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.86%E -1.90%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.86%E -1.90%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.86%E -1.90%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.86%E -1.90%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.86%E -1.90%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.86%E -1.90%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.86%E -1.90%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.69%E -1.37%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 16:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.51%E -2.34%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 16:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.69%E -1.37%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.15%E -2.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.69%E -1.37%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 16:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.79%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.90%E -0.693%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.79%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.90%E -0.693%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.79%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 16:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.79%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.79%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.79%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -4.79%E -3.24%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -14.39%E -6.00%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.92%EV -2.26%E -0.825%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -8.68%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.44%E -3.70%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.04%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.72%E -4.64%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.26%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.72%E -4.64%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.26%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 16:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -5.83%E -2.21%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.54%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.54%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.37%E -5.12%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23% | 0.0% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 16:45 |