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Mercyhurst Lakers v LIU Sharks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mercyhurst Lakers (Local)
Prediction 38.85%2.57fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%38.83%38.90%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.432.5043.48%41.15%41.15%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
LIU Sharks (Visit)
Prediction 61.15%1.64fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%61.17%61.10%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.551.561.5965.79%64.46%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mercyhurst Lakers (Local): 38.85%; LIU Sharks (Visit): 61.15%. For LIU Sharks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.59, with an expected value of -2.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -3.66%E -1.47%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.43%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.77%E -1.74%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.05%E -4.64%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.05%E -4.64%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.05%E -4.64%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62% | -0.2% | 2026-02-21 18:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.5% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |