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Mercyhurst Lakers v Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mercyhurst Lakers (Local)
Prediction 60.43%1.65fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.59%60.39%60.43%62.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.571.571.6266.23%63.74%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (Visit)
Prediction 39.57%2.53fair odd
EV +0.910%
Edge +0.357%
Kelly +0.587%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.78%39.61%39.57%41.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.432.5544.44%41.57%41.15%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mercyhurst Lakers (Local): 60.43%; Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (Visit): 39.57%. For Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.910%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -5.13%E -3.27%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +0.910%E +0.357%K +0.587%G +0.005% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 23:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -5.73%E -3.68%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -0.277%E -0.110%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 23:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -7.55%E -4.93%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -0.277%E -0.110%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.73%E -3.68%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.07%E -0.427%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.55%E -4.93%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.07%E -0.427%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 23:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.94%E -4.51%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -1.86%E -0.750%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.34%E -4.09%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 23:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.71%E -1.68%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.05%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 23:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.71%E -1.68%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.05%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.71%E -1.68%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.05%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.92%E -2.47%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.05%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.92%E -2.47%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.05%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 23:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.13%E -3.27%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.05%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.34%E -4.09%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.05%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.55%E -4.93%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.05%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.84%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.84%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.13%E -3.27%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.84%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.13%E -3.27%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.84%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.13%E -3.27%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.84%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.13%E -3.27%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.84%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.13%E -3.27%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.84%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.13%E -3.27%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.23%E -1.75%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 23:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.71%E -1.68%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.03%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 23:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.75%E -5.80%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.03%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 23:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.82%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.13%E -3.27%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.82%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.13%E -3.27%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.82%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.73%E -3.68%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.82%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.71%E -1.68%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.32%E -2.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.32%E -2.07%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.73%E -3.68%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.34%E -4.09%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -8.15%E -5.36%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%EV -7.80%E -3.35%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -8.15%E -5.36%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%EV -7.80%E -3.35%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.11%E -1.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.98%E -3.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.13%E -3.27%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.98%E -3.91%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -3.92%E -2.47%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -10.96%E -4.87%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.34%E -4.09%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.96%E -4.87%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.34%E -4.09%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.96%E -4.87%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06% | -0.1% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |