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Mercer Bears v Western Carolina Catamounts
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mercer Bears (Local)
Prediction 54.51%1.83fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.21%54.39%54.47%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.741.731.8058.82%57.46%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Western Carolina Catamounts (Visit)
Prediction 45.49%2.20fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%45.61%45.53%46.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.082.102.1550.25%47.98%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mercer Bears (Local): 54.51%; Western Carolina Catamounts (Visit): 45.49%. For Mercer Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -1.89%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 01:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.89%E -1.05%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.53%E -1.99%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.53%E -1.99%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 01:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.53%E -1.99%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 20:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.53%E -1.99%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 20:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -4.07%E -2.31%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.10%E -1.45%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -9.47%E -4.76%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.19%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.19%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.19%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 20:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.16%E -2.97%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.55%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.55%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.55%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.55%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.55%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.55%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.55%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.55%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.55%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.55%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.01%E -1.90%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 01:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.01%E -4.51%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.25%E -3.63%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.25%E -3.63%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.80%E -3.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.37%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 23:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.80%E -3.97%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.01%E -4.51%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 23:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.34%E -4.32%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.83%E -2.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.34%E -4.32%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.34%E -4.32%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.34%E -4.32%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.01%E -4.51%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 21:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.34%E -4.32%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.01%E -4.51%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 21:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-03-07 22:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 01:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 01:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 01:19 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 01:18 |