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Mercer Bears v East Tennessee St Buccaneers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mercer Bears (Local)
Prediction 53.31%1.88fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -3.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.97%53.48%53.25%54.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.771.781.8258.48%56.45%56.18%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Visit)
Prediction 46.69%2.14fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.483%
Kelly -0.914%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.22%46.52%46.75%47.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1251.28%49.06%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mercer Bears (Local): 53.31%; East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Visit): 46.69%. For East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.12, with an expected value of -1.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -2.97%E -1.63%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 10:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 21:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 13:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 13:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 13:08 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 13:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 19:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.64%E -3.18%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.64%E -3.18%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 12:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.64%E -3.18%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.64%E -3.18%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.17%E -3.51%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.17%E -3.51%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 20:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.02%E -0.483%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 20:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 20:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 21:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.24%E -4.16%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 10:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 19:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.83%E -5.17%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.66% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 45.34% | -1.1% | 2026-02-28 20:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 19:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66% | 2.8% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 21:19 |