Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Tigers v Wichita St Shockers

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Tigers (Local)

Prediction 52.77%1.90fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.61%52.80%52.63%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.801.8557.80%55.71%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wichita St Shockers (Visit)

Prediction 47.23%2.12fair odd
EV -0.811%
Edge -0.386%
Kelly -0.737%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.20%47.37%48.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.012.002.1052.08%49.82%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Memphis Tigers (Local): 52.77%; Wichita St Shockers (Visit): 47.23%. For Wichita St Shockers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -0.811%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -2.38%E -1.29%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -5.06%E -2.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 01:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 01:30
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 01:29
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 01:29
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.53%E -2.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 01:54
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.96%E -2.18%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.59%E -2.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.96%E -2.18%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.59%E -2.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 01:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.96%E -2.18%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.59%E -2.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 01:29
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.96%E -2.18%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.59%E -2.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.96%E -2.18%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.59%E -2.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 01:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.96%E -2.18%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.59%E -2.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 01:29
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.96%E -2.18%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.59%E -2.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 01:29
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.49%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.53%E -2.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 01:30
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.49%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.53%E -2.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.49%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.53%E -2.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 01:30
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.17%E -1.55%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 01:29
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.17%E -1.55%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 01:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.17%E -1.55%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.64%E -1.79%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 23:54
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 01:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 01:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 01:49
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.95%E -3.53%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 01:50
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 01:29
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -9.31%E -4.85%K -10.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 01:29
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -9.31%E -4.85%K -10.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.55%E -3.10%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.95%E -3.53%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 01:30
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.76%E -0.844%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.76%E -0.844%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.76%E -0.844%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 19:05
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.59%E -2.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.59%E -2.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.42%E -3.79%K -7.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 01:24
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.811%E -0.386%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:10
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.17%E -1.55%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 01:30
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -7.13%E -4.05%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.01%E -3.02%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 23:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.53%E -2.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 01:24
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.19%E -4.70%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 01:55
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.71%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.53%E -2.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.71%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:00
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.71%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.90%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%0.2%2026-02-27 01:54
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-02-27 01:05
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-02-27 01:44
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-02-27 01:34
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.1%2026-02-27 01:54