Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.43
assuming max odds 3.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Memphis Tigers (Local): 68.15%; UAB Blazers (Visit): 31.85%. For UAB Blazers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.52%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +3.52%E +1.08%K +1.56%G +0.055% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -8.68%E -6.48%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV +2.88%E +0.893%K +1.29%G +0.037% | 5.6% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.38%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.62%EV +0.654%E +0.207%K +0.303%G +0.002% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.64%E -4.85%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +0.336%E +0.107%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.64%E -4.85%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +0.336%E +0.107%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.336%E +0.107%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.336%E +0.107%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.336%E +0.107%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.336%E +0.107%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.336%E +0.107%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -9.36%E -7.04%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -0.620%E -0.199%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.28%E -3.80%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -1.26%E -0.405%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.85%E -0.934%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 16:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.85%E -0.934%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 16:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.64%E -4.85%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.85%E -0.934%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.85%E -0.934%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.85%E -0.934%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.85%E -0.934%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.49%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.23%E -2.28%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.91%E -2.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.59%E -3.28%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.96%E -4.32%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 16:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 16:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -2.55%E -1.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 16:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.23%E -2.28%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.23%E -2.28%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.96%E -4.32%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.64%E -4.85%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.64%E -4.85%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.32%E -5.38%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 69.08% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.92% | -0.2% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.20% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.80% | 1.1% | 2026-02-22 16:53 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-02-22 16:55 |