Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Tigers v Tulane Green Wave

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Tigers (Local)

Prediction 63.67%1.57fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -4.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.63%63.75%64.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.511.5369.44%66.51%66.23%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tulane Green Wave (Visit)

Prediction 36.33%2.75fair odd
EV -0.096%
Edge -0.035%
Kelly -0.055%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.29%36.37%36.25%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.582.552.7540.32%38.81%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Memphis Tigers (Local): 63.67%; Tulane Green Wave (Visit): 36.33%. For Tulane Green Wave (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.753. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.750, with an expected value of -0.096%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-11 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-11 22:09
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-11 22:10
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -4.46%E -1.69%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.55%E -2.13%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 22:10
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 22:10
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 22:10
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 22:05
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.18%E -3.67%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.18%E -3.67%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 22:05
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.58%E -1.69%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.18%E -3.67%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.22%E -2.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.55%E -2.13%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 22:05
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.86%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 22:34
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.86%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 22:25
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.86%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 22:25
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.86%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.09%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 22:05
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.86%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.82%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 22:14
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -3.86%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -6.27%E -2.43%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.86%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.36%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 22:49
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.86%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -9.18%E -3.67%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 22:05
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.86%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -9.18%E -3.67%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -3.86%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -9.91%E -3.99%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -3.86%E -2.55%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -9.91%E -3.99%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 22:05
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.49%E -3.00%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.096%E -0.035%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-11 22:05
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.49%E -3.00%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.49%E -3.00%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 22:10
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.49%E -3.00%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.55%E -2.13%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 22:10
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.49%E -3.00%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.18%E -3.67%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 22:25
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.49%E -3.00%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.18%E -3.67%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 18:40
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.13%E -3.44%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 22:39
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.77%E -3.90%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.77%E -3.90%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.73%E -1.41%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 22:10
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -5.77%E -3.90%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -8.09%E -3.20%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 22:05
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.77%E -3.90%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.18%E -3.67%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.68%E -5.29%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 22:54
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.68%E -5.29%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.36%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 22:49
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.68%E -5.29%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.36%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 22:49
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.31%E -5.77%K -18.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.55%E -2.13%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 22:25
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.31%E -5.77%K -18.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.18%E -3.67%K -6.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-11 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.31%E -5.77%K -18.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.18%E -3.67%K -6.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-11 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.45%2.81I 35.59%NM 35.55%0.1%2026-03-11 22:25
ProphetX1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-03-11 22:54
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-03-11 22:20
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-03-11 22:05
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%2.5%2026-03-11 22:54