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Memphis Tigers v South Florida Bulls
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Memphis Tigers (Local)
Prediction 26.67%3.75fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.488%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%27.00%26.68%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.553.7031.25%28.54%28.17%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
South Florida Bulls (Visit)
Prediction 73.33%1.36fair odd
EV -0.272%
Edge -0.200%
Kelly -0.756%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.48%73.00%73.32%74.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.301.301.3678.13%76.79%76.92%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Memphis Tigers (Local): 26.67%; South Florida Bulls (Visit): 73.33%. For South Florida Bulls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.364. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.360, with an expected value of -0.272%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.32%E -0.356%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 02:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.65%E -0.727%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.19%E -0.878%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.94%E -3.01%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 02:02 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -3.19%E -0.878%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.94%E -3.01%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 02:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.99%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.94%E -3.01%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.99%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.94%E -3.01%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 02:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.99%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.94%E -3.01%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.32%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.32%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.32%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.32%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.32%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.32%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.32%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.32%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.32%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.32%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.65%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.65%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.65%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.41%E -4.19%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.65%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.99%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.21%E -2.43%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.14%E -4.80%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.99%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.67%E -3.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 02:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -13.32%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -0.272%E -0.200%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 02:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -14.65%E -4.58%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -1.74%E -1.30%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65% | 2.7% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |
| Novig◎ | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 02:15 |