Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.34
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: McNeese Cowboys (Local): 74.66%; UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Visit): 25.34%. For UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.42%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -8.17%E -6.64%K -35.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +6.42%E +1.53%K +2.01%G +0.129% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -8.17%E -6.64%K -35.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +6.42%E +1.53%K +2.01%G +0.129% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +3.89%E +0.948%K +1.25%G +0.049% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 01:32 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +3.89%E +0.948%K +1.25%G +0.049% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 01:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.42%E -5.98%K -30.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +3.89%E +0.948%K +1.25%G +0.049% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 01:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV +2.87%E +0.707%K +0.939%G +0.027% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 01:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV +2.87%E +0.707%K +0.939%G +0.027% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.42%E -5.98%K -30.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +1.35%E +0.338%K +0.451%G +0.006% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 01:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.42%E -5.98%K -30.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +1.35%E +0.338%K +0.451%G +0.006% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 01:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.18%E -0.303%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 01:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.91%E -7.31%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.18%E -0.303%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 01:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 01:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.72%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 01:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.72%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 01:33 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.72%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 01:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.72%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.72%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.72%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.91%E -7.31%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.72%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.91%E -7.31%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.91%E -7.31%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 01:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 01:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 01:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 01:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 01:33 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 01:33 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 01:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.97%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -9.29%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 01:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.91%E -7.31%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -10.05%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-11 01:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.94%E -2.26%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -1.45%E -1.10%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -17.65%E -5.43%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -1.45%E -1.10%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -17.65%E -5.43%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -1.45%E -1.10%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -17.65%E -5.43%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -2.19%E -1.67%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -17.65%E -5.43%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV +0.047%E +0.035%K +0.139%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -18.92%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -0.699%E -0.526%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -18.92%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -2.94%E -2.26%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -18.92%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -2.94%E -2.26%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -18.92%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -2.94%E -2.26%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -18.92%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -2.94%E -2.26%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -20.19%E -6.41%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.94% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.06% | -0.3% | 2026-03-11 01:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.01% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.99% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 46.35% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 53.65% | 72.6% | 2026-03-11 01:35 |