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Massachusetts Minutemen v Ohio Bobcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Massachusetts Minutemen (Local)

Prediction 54.20%1.84fair odd
EV -0.805%
Edge -0.440%
Kelly -0.970%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.12%54.18%54.26%55.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.801.8358.82%56.20%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ohio Bobcats (Visit)

Prediction 45.80%2.18fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.42%45.82%45.74%47.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1551.28%49.05%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Massachusetts Minutemen (Local): 54.20%; Ohio Bobcats (Visit): 45.80%. For Massachusetts Minutemen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -0.805%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.805%E -0.440%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.805%E -0.440%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.805%E -0.440%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 22:40
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.805%E -0.440%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.805%E -0.440%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.805%E -0.440%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.805%E -0.440%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.805%E -0.440%K -0.970%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.35%E -0.740%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.35%E -0.740%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 22:40
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.35%E -0.740%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -1.89%E -1.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.78%E -4.97%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.20%E -2.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 22:40
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:14
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 22:40
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -10.24%E -5.23%K -10.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 22:40
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.52%E -1.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.49%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.52%E -1.98%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.49%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 23:15
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:35
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:40
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.54%E -0.716%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 22:45
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.54%E -0.716%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 23:53
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 22:40
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 22:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 22:40
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.00%E -0.934%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 22:45
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 22:45
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 22:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.86I 53.76%NM 54.19%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.81%-0.8%2026-03-03 23:15
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-03-03 23:45
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-03 22:45
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-03-03 23:00
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-03-03 23:34