Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks v South Carolina St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 21:50 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks (Local)

Prediction 70.05%1.43fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -6.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.24%70.06%70.09%71.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.351.3975.19%73.93%74.07%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Carolina St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 29.95%3.34fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.543%
Kelly +0.769%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.27%29.94%29.91%31.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.173.203.4034.48%31.57%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks (Local): 70.05%; South Carolina St Bulldogs (Visit): 29.95%. For South Carolina St Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +1.85%E +0.543%K +0.769%G +0.014%4.0%2026-02-28 21:44
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.74%E -3.48%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.15%E -0.348%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 21:43
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.74%E -3.48%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.65%E -0.815%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 21:44
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.65%E -0.815%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.65%E -0.815%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 21:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.65%E -0.815%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 21:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.65%E -0.815%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 21:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.65%E -0.815%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 21:44
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.65%E -0.815%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 21:44
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.65%E -0.815%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 21:44
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.74%E -3.48%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.14%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 21:44
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.84%E -5.14%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.14%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.64%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 21:44
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.64%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 21:44
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.64%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 21:44
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.64%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.14%E -4.58%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.64%E -1.79%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 21:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -2.64%E -1.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -6.84%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.74%E -3.48%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.14%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 21:44
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.74%E -3.48%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 21:44
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.74%E -3.48%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -13.13%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 21:33
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -5.44%E -4.03%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -13.13%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 21:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-02-28 21:44
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%4.0%2026-02-28 21:44
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%6.0%2026-02-28 21:44
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 70.89%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.11%7.7%2026-02-28 21:44