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Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks v Delaware St Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 01:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks (Local)

Prediction 68.17%1.47fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -5.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%68.03%68.18%69.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.381.4373.53%72.06%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Delaware St Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 31.83%3.14fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.425%
Kelly -0.627%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.80%31.97%31.82%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.983.003.1036.36%33.56%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks (Local): 68.17%; Delaware St Hornets (Visit): 31.83%. For Delaware St Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -1.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.52%E -1.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 01:05
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.52%E -1.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.68%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 01:15
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.20%E -2.26%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 01:15
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.57%E -3.26%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 01:14
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.26%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 01:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.26%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.32%E -2.89%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 01:15
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.57%E -3.26%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.46%E -4.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 01:01
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.25%E -3.78%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.91%E -0.954%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 01:15
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.93%E -4.30%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.32%E -0.425%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 01:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.93%E -4.30%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.32%E -0.425%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 01:15
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.93%E -4.30%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.32%E -0.425%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 01:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.93%E -4.30%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.32%E -0.425%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 01:04
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.93%E -4.30%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.32%E -0.425%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 01:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.93%E -4.30%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.32%E -0.425%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 01:04
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.93%E -4.30%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.93%E -4.30%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.93%E -4.30%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.93%E -4.30%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:15
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.93%E -4.30%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.50%E -1.50%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 01:15
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.29%E -5.36%K -20.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.09%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 01:15
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.29%E -5.36%K -20.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.29%E -5.36%K -20.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.87%E -3.88%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 01:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-03-06 01:15
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-03-06 01:15
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%7.4%2026-03-06 01:15