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Marshall Thundering Herd v Old Dominion Monarchs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marshall Thundering Herd (Local)
Prediction 75.63%1.32fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -5.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.04%75.58%75.67%76.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3081.97%78.99%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit)
Prediction 24.37%4.10fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.269%
Kelly +0.354%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.01%24.42%24.33%27.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.813.804.1529.85%26.27%26.32%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marshall Thundering Herd (Local): 75.63%; Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit): 24.37%. For Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.21%E -5.01%K -25.89%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +1.12%E +0.269%K +0.354%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.45%EV -4.70%E -3.73%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.55%EV -0.346%E -0.085%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-24 23:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -4.70%E -3.73%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -0.589%E -0.144%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-24 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -2.43%E -1.88%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -2.54%E -0.635%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-02-24 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.94%E -3.11%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.54%E -0.635%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-24 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.46%E -4.37%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.54%E -0.635%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.46%E -4.37%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.54%E -0.635%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.46%E -4.37%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.54%E -0.635%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-24 23:32 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.73%E -6.33%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.54%E -0.635%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.73%E -6.33%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.54%E -0.635%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -6.97%E -5.67%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -3.51%E -0.887%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.94%E -3.11%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.76%E -0.951%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.94%E -3.11%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.76%E -0.951%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.46%E -4.37%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.46%E -4.37%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.46%E -4.37%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.19%E -2.49%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-24 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.19%E -2.49%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -5.22%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-24 22:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.94%E -3.11%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -6.97%E -5.67%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.26%EV -6.44%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-24 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.43%E -1.88%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-24 23:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.97%E -5.67%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.97%E -5.67%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.21%E -5.01%K -25.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.43%E -1.88%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.43%E -1.88%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.43%E -1.88%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.43%E -1.88%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-24 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.43%E -1.88%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.43%E -1.88%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-24 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.43%E -1.88%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-24 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.19%E -2.49%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 23:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.19%E -2.49%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 23:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.73%E -6.33%K -35.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.85%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.43%E -1.88%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.43%E -1.88%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.43%E -1.88%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 22:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.43%E -1.88%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.43%E -1.88%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.50%E -3.80%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-24 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.19%E -2.49%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -13.50%E -3.80%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-24 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.46%E -4.37%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.72%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 23:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -18.38%E -5.49%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-24 21:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.87% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 24.13% | -0.1% | 2026-02-24 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 0.2% | 2026-02-24 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-02-24 23:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.80% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 23.20% | 0.9% | 2026-02-24 23:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-02-24 23:55 |