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Marshall Thundering Herd v Georgia Southern Eagles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marshall Thundering Herd (Local)
Prediction 73.77%1.36fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -10.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%73.70%73.68%74.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3180.00%77.70%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit)
Prediction 26.23%3.81fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.433%
Kelly -0.590%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.30%26.30%26.32%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.623.653.7530.30%27.61%27.40%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marshall Thundering Herd (Local): 73.77%; Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit): 26.23%. For Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.37%E -2.57%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.37%E -2.57%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 01:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.37%E -2.57%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 22:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.37%E -2.57%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 01:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -4.10%E -3.16%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -2.41%E -0.648%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.10%E -3.16%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.94%E -0.793%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.10%E -3.16%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.94%E -0.793%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.10%E -3.16%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.94%E -0.793%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.10%E -3.16%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.25%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.10%E -3.16%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 01:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.10%E -3.16%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 01:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.10%E -3.16%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 01:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.10%E -3.16%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 21:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.84%E -3.75%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.62%E -0.433%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 21:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.84%E -3.75%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.94%E -0.793%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 21:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.84%E -3.75%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.94%E -0.793%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.84%E -3.75%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.94%E -0.793%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.84%E -3.75%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.94%E -0.793%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 22:03 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.84%E -3.75%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.25%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.84%E -3.75%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 01:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.84%E -3.75%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.84%E -3.75%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.84%E -3.75%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 21:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.84%E -3.75%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.56%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 01:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.84%E -3.75%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 01:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.84%E -3.75%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.62%E -0.433%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 00:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.62%E -0.433%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 00:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.62%E -0.433%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 00:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.62%E -0.433%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 00:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.62%E -0.433%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.62%E -0.433%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 00:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.62%E -0.433%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 00:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.94%E -0.793%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 00:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.94%E -0.793%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.94%E -0.793%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 00:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 01:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.58%E -4.36%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.32%E -4.97%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.94%E -0.793%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.32%E -4.97%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 22:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.05%E -5.60%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -2.41%E -0.648%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 21:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.05%E -5.60%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.25%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.05%E -5.60%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 01:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.54%EV -7.79%E -6.23%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.46%EV -3.98%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 21:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.52% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.48% | 0.1% | 2026-02-28 01:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-02-28 01:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.96% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 01:33 |