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Marshall Thundering Herd v Georgia Southern Eagles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marshall Thundering Herd (Local)
Prediction 59.21%1.69fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.669%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.51%59.32%59.10%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.611.611.6764.10%62.11%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit)
Prediction 40.79%2.45fair odd
EV -0.882%
Edge -0.363%
Kelly -0.617%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%40.68%40.90%42.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.322.332.4345.05%43.01%42.92%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marshall Thundering Herd (Local): 59.21%; Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit): 40.79%. For Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.43, with an expected value of -0.882%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.12%E -0.669%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.30%E -1.40%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.15%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 00:57 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.33%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 00:56 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -2.89%E -1.76%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -9.45%E -4.26%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.11%E -0.878%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-09 00:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.74%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.08%E -2.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:57 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.15%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.37%E -2.31%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.37%E -2.31%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.37%E -2.31%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.67%E -2.90%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.92%E -1.23%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.37%E -2.31%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.22%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.85%E -3.68%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -0.882%E -0.363%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 00:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.04%E -4.48%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.18%E -2.69%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.04%E -4.48%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.22%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.04%E -4.48%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.22%E -3.66%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.63%E -4.89%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.96%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14% | 0.0% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |