Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marquette Golden Eagles v DePaul Blue Demons

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marquette Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 64.16%1.56fair odd
EV -0.550%
Edge -0.355%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.10%64.08%64.32%66.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.491.481.5570.92%67.19%67.34%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

DePaul Blue Demons (Visit)

Prediction 35.84%2.79fair odd
EV +1.78%
Edge +0.628%
Kelly +0.969%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 2.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.64%35.92%35.68%37.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.632.8440.00%38.03%38.10%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marquette Golden Eagles (Local): 64.16%; DePaul Blue Demons (Visit): 35.84%. For DePaul Blue Demons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV +1.78%E +0.628%K +0.969%G +0.017%4.7%2026-03-01 20:49
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +0.349%E +0.125%K +0.194%G +0.001%3.3%2026-03-01 20:54
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.44%E -0.525%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-01 20:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.44%E -0.525%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 20:54
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.44%E -0.525%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 20:48
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.44%E -0.525%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 20:54
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -9.53%E -6.76%K -23.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -1.44%E -0.525%K -0.824%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 20:54
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -9.53%E -6.76%K -23.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -1.44%E -0.525%K -0.824%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.80%E -0.657%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 20:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.80%E -0.657%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 20:49
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 20:50
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 20:49
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 20:49
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 20:49
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.32%E -4.33%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 20:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:54
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:49
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.04%E -3.41%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 20:54
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 20:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 20:54
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 20:49
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 20:49
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 20:55
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 19:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 19:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 19:44
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 19:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 19:44
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 19:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 19:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.83%E -1.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 19:44
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 20:49
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.61%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 20:49
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -0.550%E -0.355%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -8.97%E -3.53%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 20:09
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.48%E -1.63%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 20:34
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.12%E -2.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 20:34
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.12%E -2.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.12%E -2.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 19:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.76%E -2.51%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.40%E -4.16%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 05:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 67.11%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.89%0.0%2026-03-01 20:54
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-01 20:54
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-03-01 20:50
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%1.9%2026-03-01 20:55
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 65.20%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.80%2.3%2026-03-01 20:54