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Maine Black Bears v UMass Lowell River Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maine Black Bears (Local)
Prediction 48.90%2.05fair odd
EV -0.250%
Edge -0.122%
Kelly -0.240%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%48.88%48.95%51.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.921.912.0455.56%52.18%52.36%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 51.10%1.96fair odd
EV +1.18%
Edge +0.598%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.28%51.12%51.05%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.871.881.9857.80%53.41%53.19%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maine Black Bears (Local): 48.90%; UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visit): 51.10%. For UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV +1.18%E +0.598%K +1.21%G +0.014% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV +0.162%E +0.082%K +0.168%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV +0.162%E +0.082%K +0.168%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.349%E -0.179%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.37%E -0.711%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.37%E -0.711%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.99%E -6.66%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.10%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.42%E -1.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.42%E -1.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 22:52 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.10%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.10%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 22:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.23%E -0.608%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -7.50%E -4.15%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 22:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -0.250%E -0.122%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -8.01%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.55%E -5.39%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 22:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -10.06%E -5.72%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 20:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.59%E -6.70%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -11.59%E -6.70%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 02:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 0.0% | 2026-03-03 22:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 13:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30% | 2.3% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 22:54 |