Language:English
LSU Tigers v Alabama Crimson Tide
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
LSU Tigers (Local)
Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.512%
Kelly -0.694%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.20%25.86%25.74%27.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.603.8029.41%27.45%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)
Prediction 74.20%1.35fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -9.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.65%74.14%74.26%74.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.281.281.3180.00%77.83%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LSU Tigers (Local): 25.80%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 74.20%. For LSU Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.94%E -0.512%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.94%E -0.512%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 15:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.94%E -0.512%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.94%E -0.512%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.94%E -0.512%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.94%E -0.512%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.94%E -0.512%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.94%E -0.512%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.94%E -0.512%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.94%E -0.512%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.94%E -0.512%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.94%E -0.512%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.94%E -0.512%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -2.46%E -0.651%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 15:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -2.98%E -0.792%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 20:31 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.80%E -2.14%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 16:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.29%E -3.32%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.26%E -5.80%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 15:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -8.40%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -8.40%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -8.40%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -8.40%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.77%E -4.54%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -10.46%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -3.55%E -2.73%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.98%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.03%E -3.93%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 16:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.86% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.14% | 0.3% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 0.5% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.94I 25.38%NM 25.24% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.76% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-02-21 22:30 |