Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola Marymount Lions v San Diego Toreros

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 04:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola Marymount Lions (Local)

Prediction 69.21%1.44fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -4.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.11%69.09%68.97%70.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.61%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Toreros (Visit)

Prediction 30.79%3.25fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.485%
Kelly +0.696%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.34%30.91%31.03%33.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.053.103.3036.36%32.74%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Loyola Marymount Lions (Local): 69.21%; San Diego Toreros (Visit): 30.79%. For San Diego Toreros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV +1.60%E +0.485%K +0.696%G +0.011%3.3%2026-03-06 03:45
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -3.80%E -2.73%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +0.061%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-06 03:40
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -0.554%E -0.172%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 03:30
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -0.862%E -0.268%K -0.388%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 03:34
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.48%E -0.462%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 03:45
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.48%E -0.462%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 04:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.79%E -0.560%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 03:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.79%E -0.560%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 03:29
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.02%E -0.958%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 04:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.02%E -0.958%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 04:25
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 03:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 03:40
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 04:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 03:25
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 03:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 03:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 03:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 03:25
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 03:25
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 03:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 03:25
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 03:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 03:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.75%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -7.02%E -2.32%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 04:24
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.72%E -1.21%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 04:25
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 04:23
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 03:35
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 03:35
Fliff🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.56%E -4.86%K -18.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 04:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 04:25
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -1.72%E -1.21%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 04:25
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.72%E -1.21%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 04:00
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 03:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 03:25
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 03:25
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 04:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.33%E -3.93%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 03:25
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.33%E -3.93%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 03:25
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.79%E -4.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 03:45
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -2.41%E -1.71%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -15.33%E -5.58%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 09:06
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97%3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03%0.1%2026-03-06 04:25
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-06 04:25
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-06 04:15
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-06 03:40
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.54%1.4%2026-03-06 04:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-03-06 04:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-03-06 04:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-03-06 04:25