Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola (Chi) Ramblers v Richmond Spiders

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola (Chi) Ramblers (Local)

Prediction 41.71%2.40fair odd
EV +4.27%
Edge +1.71%
Kelly +2.84%
Growth +0.121%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%41.50%41.77%42.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.252.5046.51%44.13%44.35%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Richmond Spiders (Visit)

Prediction 58.29%1.72fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.33%58.50%58.23%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.641.6764.10%61.11%60.98%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Loyola (Chi) Ramblers (Local): 41.71%; Richmond Spiders (Visit): 58.29%. For Loyola (Chi) Ramblers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +4.27%E +1.71%K +2.84%G +0.121%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -9.06%E -5.81%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 19:49
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.99%E -0.846%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 20:29
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -3.24%E -1.40%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 20:45
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 20:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 20:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 20:25
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 20:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 20:34
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 20:19
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:19
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:24
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.49%E -1.96%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 20:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:34
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:34
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:34
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.91%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -5.33%E -2.35%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.90%E -5.00%K -13.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 20:14
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.74%E -2.54%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 20:19
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 20:19
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 20:19
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.82%E -2.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 20:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:54
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:34
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 20:30
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 20:24
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.16%E -2.74%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 19:44
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.99%E -3.14%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 19:44
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.99%E -3.14%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.40%E -2.68%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -6.99%E -3.14%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.98%E -3.06%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:34
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 20:19
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.41%E -3.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 20:19
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 20:24
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.25%E -3.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.33%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 20:19
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.33%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.73%E -4.21%K -11.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 20:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-02-28 20:14
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Novig2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%2.1%2026-02-28 20:54
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%4.6%2026-02-28 20:54