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Louisville Cardinals v Syracuse Orange
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Louisville Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 88.84%1.13fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -22.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.63%88.69%88.91%90.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.071.071.1096.15%93.06%93.46%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Syracuse Orange (Visit)
Prediction 11.16%8.96fair odd
EV +8.69%
Edge +0.892%
Kelly +0.994%
Growth +0.086%
assuming max odds 9.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.90%11.31%11.09%13.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.128.009.7414.29%12.32%12.50%10.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisville Cardinals (Local): 88.84%; Syracuse Orange (Visit): 11.16%. For Syracuse Orange (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.96. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.57%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +8.69%E +0.892%K +0.994%G +0.086% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.57%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +8.69%E +0.892%K +0.994%G +0.086% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +6.01%E +0.632%K +0.707%G +0.042% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.57%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +1.54%E +0.170%K +0.191%G +0.003% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.34%EV -4.05%E -3.75%K -50.64%G +0.000% | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.66%EV +0.987%E +0.109%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 01:38 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.429%E +0.048%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 01:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.24%EV -4.05%E -3.75%K -50.64%G +0.000% | 8.96I 11.16%NM 10.76%EV -0.018%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.43%EV -7.61%E -7.31%K -190.13%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.57%EV -1.80%E -0.205%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.57%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -2.36%E -0.270%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.57%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -2.36%E -0.270%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.15%E -0.606%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.15%E -0.606%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.15%E -0.606%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.15%E -0.606%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.15%E -0.606%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.15%E -0.606%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.15%E -0.606%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.15%E -0.606%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.15%E -0.606%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.05%E -3.75%K -50.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.73%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.73%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 00:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.73%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.73%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.24%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.14%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.76%EV -11.29%E -1.42%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.14%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -13.52%E -1.74%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.27%E -2.07%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 12:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.16%E -2.90%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.16%E -2.90%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.16%E -2.90%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.16%E -2.90%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.16%E -2.90%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.16%E -2.90%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.16%E -2.90%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.16%E -2.90%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.16%E -2.90%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.16%E -2.90%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.16%E -2.90%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.16%E -2.90%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.05%E -3.75%K -50.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.31%E -2.17%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.05%E -3.75%K -50.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.89%E -3.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 01:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.05%E -3.75%K -50.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -21.89%E -3.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 91.06% | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.94% | -0.2% | 2026-03-04 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 89.04% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.96% | 0.3% | 2026-03-04 01:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.39% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 01:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 01:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 00:25 |