Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Cardinals v Morehead St Eagles

2026-11-07 17:00 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

97%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisville Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 96.63%1.03fair odd

EV -3.37%

Edge -3.37%

Kelly +0.000%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

93.33%96.63%96.63%99.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.001.001.00100.00%100.00%100.00%100.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Morehead St Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 3.37%29.65fair odd

EV +577.88%

Edge +2.88%

Kelly +2.89%

Growth +16.70%

assuming max odds 201.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

0.50%3.37%3.37%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

14.00101.17113.00201.007.14%0.99%0.88%0.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Louisville Cardinals (Local): 96.63%; Morehead St Eagles (Visit): 3.37%. For Morehead St Eagles (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 29.65. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 201.00, producing a positive expected value of +577.88%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 99.50%EV -3.37%E -3.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%	201.00I 0.50%NM 0.50%EV +577.88%E +2.88%K +2.89%G +16.70%	0.5%	2026-11-06 22:45
Paddy Power🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 99.34%EV -3.37%E -3.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%	151.00I 0.66%NM 0.66%EV +409.25%E +2.71%K +2.73%G +11.17%	0.7%	2026-11-06 22:45
SportsBet🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 99.21%EV -3.37%E -3.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%	126.00I 0.79%NM 0.79%EV +324.94%E +2.58%K +2.60%G +8.45%	0.8%	2026-11-06 22:44
1xBet🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01%EV -3.37%E -3.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%	100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99%EV +237.25%E +2.37%K +2.40%G +5.69%	1.0%	2026-11-07 00:00
BoyleSports🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -3.37%E -3.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -49.41%E -3.29%K -3.53%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-06 23:05
picklebet_au🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 93.33%EV -3.37%E -3.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -52.78%E -3.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-06 23:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01%	100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99%	1.0%	2026-11-06 19:05

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