Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs v Missouri St Bears

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 16:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 49.19%2.03fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.807%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%49.36%49.15%51.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.932.0055.56%51.80%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri St Bears (Visit)

Prediction 50.81%1.97fair odd
EV +0.598%
Edge +0.302%
Kelly +0.610%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.28%50.64%50.85%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.861.851.9857.80%53.85%54.05%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local): 49.19%; Missouri St Bears (Visit): 50.81%. For Missouri St Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.598%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -8.99%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV +0.598%E +0.302%K +0.610%G +0.004%4.6%2026-03-13 16:29
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -9.98%E -5.45%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -0.419%E -0.214%K -0.436%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -9.98%E -5.45%K -12.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -0.419%E -0.214%K -0.436%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 16:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.01%E -4.28%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.927%E -0.475%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 16:29
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -5.06%E -2.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -2.45%E -1.28%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 16:29
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.96%E -1.55%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 16:28
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.96%E -1.55%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.45%E -6.36%K -14.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.96%E -1.55%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 16:29
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.47%E -1.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 16:29
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.47%E -1.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.06%E -2.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.98%E -2.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 16:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.06%E -2.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 16:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.06%E -2.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 16:29
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 16:30
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 16:28
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.06%E -2.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 16:29
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 16:29
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.01%E -4.28%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 16:29
NordicBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.57%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.96%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:29
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.60%E -1.31%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 16:29
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.01%E -3.25%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 16:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 16:30
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 16:30
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 16:28
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 16:29
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 16:30
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.01%E -4.28%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 16:29
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.60%E -1.31%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.53%E -4.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.09%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.53%E -4.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -3.09%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -7.53%E -4.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.09%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -8.04%E -4.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.55%E -2.89%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -8.04%E -4.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 16:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 16:30
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -5.55%E -2.89%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 16:28
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.55%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 16:29
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -4.07%E -2.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.61%E -0.807%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.10%E -7.00%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 16:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.95I 51.28%NM 51.49%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.51%-0.4%2026-03-13 16:29
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-03-13 16:30
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%2.3%2026-03-13 16:30
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%3.1%2026-03-13 16:30