Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs v Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 45.04%2.22fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.591%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%44.99%45.19%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.112.2550.00%47.37%47.39%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 54.96%1.82fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%55.01%54.81%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.731.7760.61%58.02%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local): 45.04%; Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (Visit): 54.96%. For Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.33%E +0.591%K +1.06%G +0.014%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.31%E -5.64%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.922%E -0.419%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.01%E -3.51%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.922%E -0.419%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.01%E -3.51%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 19:29
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.922%E -0.419%K -0.769%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.01%E -3.51%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 14:25
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.17%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.71%E -1.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 21:00
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.17%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 20:40
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.17%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 20:25
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.17%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 21:23
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.17%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 21:25
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.17%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.01%E -3.51%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 21:55
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.17%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.01%E -3.51%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.17%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 20:40
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.17%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 20:40
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.62%E -1.69%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 20:25
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.07%E -1.91%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.26%E -1.85%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 21:30
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.53%E -2.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.81%E -2.18%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 21:25
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.53%E -2.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.53%E -2.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.53%E -2.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 22:25
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.53%E -2.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 22:25
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.53%E -2.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.53%E -2.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 22:25
ReBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.98%E -2.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.43%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.71%E -1.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 20:50
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.43%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.71%E -1.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 20:48
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.43%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 22:25
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.43%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.43%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 22:25
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.43%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 22:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.43%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.36%E -2.51%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.43%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.43%E -2.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.66%E -4.56%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 21:25
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -6.33%E -3.04%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.78%E -3.27%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.46%E -3.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -6.78%E -3.27%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.46%E -3.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 22:25
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -7.23%E -3.51%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.01%E -3.51%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 21:24
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 20:59
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.46%E -3.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 22:05
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 20:50
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 20:50
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.56%E -3.86%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 20:25
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.11%E -4.21%K -10.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 21:30
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -9.31%E -5.64%K -14.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-12 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -9.31%E -5.64%K -14.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-12 20:40
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.93%E -4.96%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 21:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-03-12 22:00
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%0.9%2026-03-12 22:25
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-12 21:00
ProphetX2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%1.1%2026-03-12 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-03-12 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-03-12 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-03-12 22:25
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%3.2%2026-03-12 22:15