The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns v Texas State Bobcats

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Local)

Prediction 39.97%2.50fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.847%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%40.03%39.90%40.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.372.372.4543.48%42.12%42.19%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas State Bobcats (Visit)

Prediction 60.03%1.67fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.945%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.10%59.97%60.10%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.591.6465.36%63.11%62.89%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Local): 39.97%; Texas State Bobcats (Visit): 60.03%. For Texas State Bobcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.64, with an expected value of -1.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.08%E -0.847%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 15:29
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.08%E -0.847%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 17:53
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.08%E -0.847%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -2.87%E -1.18%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.87%E -1.18%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:55
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.87%E -1.18%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:55
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.27%E -1.35%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 16:09
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.27%E -1.35%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 14:45
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 15:30
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 17:51
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 13:45
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 16:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 13:45
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 13:45
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.07%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 13:45
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.87%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -5.27%E -2.22%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -1.55%E -0.945%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -5.27%E -2.22%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -1.55%E -0.945%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 16:29
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.07%E -2.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.07%E -2.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.07%E -2.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.07%E -2.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.07%E -2.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.07%E -2.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.07%E -2.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 16:05
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.07%E -2.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.07%E -2.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.07%E -2.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -6.47%E -2.77%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 16:55
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.87%E -2.95%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:25
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.87%E -2.95%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -6.95%E -4.49%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.27%E -3.13%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 16:40
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 16:09
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 16:05
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 13:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-02-21 17:50
ProphetX◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-02-21 17:45
Novig◎2.59I 38.61%NM 38.33%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.67%0.7%2026-02-21 17:50
Polymarket◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-02-21 17:35
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-02-21 17:55