Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Longwood Lancers v Radford Highlanders

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Longwood Lancers (Local)

Prediction 53.97%1.85fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.670%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%54.05%53.95%55.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.751.751.8358.48%57.08%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Radford Highlanders (Visit)

Prediction 46.03%2.17fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.704%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.42%45.95%46.05%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.062.082.1451.28%48.51%48.08%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Longwood Lancers (Local): 53.97%; Radford Highlanders (Visit): 46.03%. For Longwood Lancers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -1.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.23%E -0.670%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 19:50
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 19:54
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 19:49
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.85%E -1.58%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.03%E -3.48%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 19:49
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.93%E -2.21%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.03%E -3.48%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 19:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 19:04
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:44
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:43
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 19:49
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.00%E -2.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.19%E -2.52%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 19:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.00%E -2.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 19:44
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -5.54%E -3.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -2.89%E -1.37%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 19:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.54%E -3.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 19:39
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.54%E -3.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 19:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.54%E -3.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 19:39
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.54%E -3.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 19:39
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.54%E -3.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 19:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.54%E -3.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 19:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.54%E -3.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 19:39
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.54%E -3.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 19:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.54%E -3.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 19:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.54%E -3.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 19:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.08%E -3.50%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 19:39
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.08%E -3.50%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 19:39
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.08%E -3.50%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.08%E -3.50%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 19:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -6.08%E -3.50%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -7.49%E -3.73%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:50
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.35%E -1.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:49
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.27%E -2.05%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 19:39
Betsson🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 19:54
NordicBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 19:54
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 19:54
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.25%E -5.26%K -10.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 19:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -7.16%E -4.16%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -4.73%E -2.28%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 19:39
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.70%E -4.50%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.51%E -0.704%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 19:49
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.70%E -4.50%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.95%E -3.97%K -7.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-02-28 18:49
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-02-28 19:49
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%2.0%2026-02-28 19:54
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%4.3%2026-02-28 19:54