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Long Beach St 49ers v UC Davis Aggies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Long Beach St 49ers (Local)
Prediction 45.67%2.19fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.83%45.71%45.74%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.082.1250.00%48.30%48.19%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UC Davis Aggies (Visit)
Prediction 54.33%1.84fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.921%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%54.29%54.26%55.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.751.761.8159.17%57.07%56.82%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Long Beach St 49ers (Local): 45.67%; UC Davis Aggies (Visit): 54.33%. For UC Davis Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.81, with an expected value of -1.67%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.17%E -1.50%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 04:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 10:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 01:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 12:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 01:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 01:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 01:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 01:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 01:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 01:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 01:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.47%E -3.14%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.47%E -3.14%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 01:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 01:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 01:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -8.19%E -4.84%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -1.67%E -0.921%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -5.46%E -2.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.47%E -3.14%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -5.91%E -2.87%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -6.01%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 01:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.91%E -2.87%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 02:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.38%E -2.49%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 01:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 18:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.01%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.56%E -3.81%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.64%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.64%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.66%E -4.33%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.01%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 09:06 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.66%E -4.33%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 01:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.66%E -4.33%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.64%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.66%E -4.33%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.64%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 18:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48% | -0.0% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 02:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 02:40 |