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LIU Sharks v Mercyhurst Lakers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
LIU Sharks (Local)
Prediction 63.33%1.58fair odd
EV +10.82%
Edge +6.18%
Kelly +14.43%
Growth +1.56%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.01%62.64%65.95%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.541.511.7573.53%64.90%66.23%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mercyhurst Lakers (Visit)
Prediction 36.67%2.73fair odd
EV +10.02%
Edge +3.34%
Kelly +5.01%
Growth +0.502%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%37.36%34.05%45.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.472.493.0050.00%40.41%40.16%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LIU Sharks (Local): 63.33%; Mercyhurst Lakers (Visit): 36.67%. For LIU Sharks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV +10.82%E +6.18%K +14.43%G +1.56% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -24.45%E -11.87%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV +10.82%E +6.18%K +14.43%G +1.56% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -24.45%E -11.87%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV +10.82%E +6.18%K +14.43%G +1.56% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -24.45%E -11.87%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV +8.92%E +5.19%K +12.39%G +1.11% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -25.92%E -12.83%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV +8.92%E +5.19%K +12.39%G +1.11% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -25.92%E -12.83%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV +8.92%E +5.19%K +12.39%G +1.11% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -25.92%E -12.83%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +8.29%E +4.85%K +11.68%G +0.968% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -22.99%E -10.95%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV +8.29%E +4.85%K +11.68%G +0.968% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -25.92%E -12.83%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV +6.39%E +3.80%K +9.40%G +0.601% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -21.52%E -10.06%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV +6.39%E +3.80%K +9.40%G +0.601% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -21.52%E -10.06%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV +5.12%E +3.09%K +7.76%G +0.398% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -26.66%E -13.33%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV +3.22%E +1.98%K +5.12%G +0.165% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -24.45%E -11.87%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +1.96%E +1.22%K +3.21%G +0.063% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -17.49%E -7.77%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -0.576%E -0.367%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -13.45%E -5.70%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -0.576%E -0.367%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -13.45%E -5.70%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -0.576%E -0.367%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -13.82%E -5.88%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -1.21%E -0.775%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -14.55%E -6.25%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -1.84%E -1.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -17.49%E -7.77%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -2.48%E -1.61%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -15.65%E -6.81%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.82%E -1.06%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -8.17%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +4.88%E +1.71%K +2.63%G +0.128% | 3.9% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -8.17%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV +4.88%E +1.71%K +2.63%G +0.128% | 3.9% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.17%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.68%E +0.958%K +1.49%G +0.040% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.17%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.82%E -1.06%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.17%E -5.64%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -3.92%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 20:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +4.52%E +1.58%K +2.44%G +0.110% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 21:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV +3.42%E +1.21%K +1.88%G +0.064% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.849%E +0.309%K +0.485%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.849%E +0.309%K +0.485%G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.44%E -6.60%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -0.985%E -0.365%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -10.07%E -7.09%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +10.02%E +3.34%K +5.01%G +0.502% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 22:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -10.07%E -7.09%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +0.849%E +0.309%K +0.485%G +0.004% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -10.71%E -7.59%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +8.18%E +2.77%K +4.20%G +0.343% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.34%E -8.10%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.849%E +0.309%K +0.485%G +0.004% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.34%E -8.10%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.849%E +0.309%K +0.485%G +0.004% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -11.34%E -8.10%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -3.92%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-10 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -13.24%E -9.67%K -35.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +10.02%E +3.34%K +5.01%G +0.502% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -13.87%E -10.20%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +10.02%E +3.34%K +5.01%G +0.502% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78% | 0.0% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.4% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.4% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 23:05 |