Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.46
assuming max odds 2.98
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lindenwood Lions (Local): 66.43%; Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Visit): 33.57%. For Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.979. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.980, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.029%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -6.33%E -4.49%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +0.029%E +0.010%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.00%E -3.50%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.978%E -0.331%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.32%E -6.03%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.66%E -0.916%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.00%E -1.40%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 02:31 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.99%E -5.00%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.01%E -2.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:37 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.01%E -2.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.01%E -2.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.99%E -5.00%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.01%E -2.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -11.05%E -4.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -6.99%E -5.00%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -12.73%E -4.89%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -6.99%E -5.00%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -12.73%E -4.89%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:43 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |