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Liberty Flames v Missouri St Bears
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liberty Flames (Local)
Prediction 67.20%1.49fair odd
EV -0.538%
Edge -0.363%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.37%67.05%67.29%68.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.421.421.4871.43%70.35%70.42%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Missouri St Bears (Visit)
Prediction 32.80%3.05fair odd
EV +0.027%
Edge +0.009%
Kelly +0.013%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.46%32.95%32.71%35.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.862.893.0538.17%35.00%34.60%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liberty Flames (Local): 67.20%; Missouri St Bears (Visit): 32.80%. For Missouri St Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.049. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.050, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.027%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.24%E -3.72%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.027%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.24%E -3.72%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.027%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 22:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.91%E -4.22%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.027%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -4.57%E -3.22%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -0.629%E -0.207%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.61%E -0.538%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.57%E -3.22%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.61%E -0.538%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.57%E -3.22%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.61%E -0.538%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 22:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.24%E -3.72%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.61%E -0.538%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 22:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.91%E -4.22%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.61%E -0.538%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.91%E -4.22%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.61%E -0.538%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.25%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.91%E -4.22%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.25%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 22:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.72%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.24%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.23%E -2.24%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.89%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.89%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.89%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.89%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.89%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.89%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.89%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.89%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.57%E -3.22%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.89%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.91%E -4.22%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.55%E -1.93%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.23%E -2.24%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.53%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.53%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.17%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.17%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.17%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.17%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.57%E -3.22%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.17%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.57%E -3.22%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.17%E -2.92%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.57%E -3.22%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.81%E -3.57%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.57%E -3.22%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.81%E -3.57%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.91%E -4.22%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.81%E -3.57%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.91%E -4.22%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.81%E -3.57%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.91%E -4.22%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.81%E -3.57%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -0.538%E -0.363%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -10.80%E -3.97%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 20:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.57%E -3.22%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.45%E -4.24%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.57%E -3.22%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.45%E -4.24%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.91%E -4.22%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.45%E -4.24%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.91%E -4.22%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.45%E -4.24%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-11 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -3.90%E -2.73%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -12.11%E -4.52%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 20:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.23%E -2.24%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -13.09%E -4.94%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 20:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -2.55%E -1.76%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -14.07%E -5.37%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 20:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 68.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.82% | -0.2% | 2026-03-11 22:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 22:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |